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Scenarios for Health Care Futures
Decision strategy
In the next 25 years, how will the access policies of non-forward thinking health care systems and government towards changes in technology affect the medical community?
Strategic Variables
Key variables
Government policy in healthcare
· Because of the large influence of policy and political considerations on the shape of health care financing, the largest predictive uncertainty and the most inflexible problems are encountered here. ...
Definition of rest of variables
Very rapid developments in information and medical technology:
Innovations in both information and communication technology and bio-medical technology are likely to produce the greatest changes in the delivery of healthcare, and in particular, the design of healthcare environments:
· Increasing electronic communication in private life
· Service from anywhere, anytime (tele-medicine)
· Access from home
· As people travel more they need the possibility to access medical advice from anywhere
· Changing living patterns in private life; more time spent at home. ...
Varied & new healthcare options
· The health care team of the future includes a range of caregivers who are multidimensional in both their focus and function. ...
· The healthcare team operates in ways that involve and touch not only the individual, but also the family, relevant organizations, employees, the community and governments. ... (Preventive focus)
The Changing Role of the Hospital: Decentralization of healthcare services
· There may actually be diseconomies of scale in health care provision, a factor that may limit the growth of mega-organizations in a price competitive environment. ...
· Hospitals objectives are changing; filling beds isnt going to be the sole criterion for success for a healthcare organization. Indeed, if they are an integrated healthcare company, theyre probably going to he hurting themselves by filling beds because of increasing costs. ...
· The hospital is clearly still central to the healthcare system, where the sickest patients and most complex medicine will continue to be found. ... The impact that a more competitive healthcare system will have on hospitals is unknown because they are not yet in a purely competitive healthcare system. ...
Scenarios
Matrix of possibilities
Little Help: Health care becomes a matter of each particular individual, as well as the access to different private services. ... Healthcare goes back to the days of local, neighborhood doctors that pay home visits. ...
Scenario: Little Help
Private companies and organizations pool together like-minded sections of society and form their own networks of approved doctors and physicians, bringing together primary healthcare, social care, information and advice, and voluntary support groups to provide seamless care from pooled budgets for members.
Approximate Word count = 1912
Approximate Pages = 7.6
(250 words per page double spaced)
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